PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 34%Sinker 25%Splitter 21%Sweeper 19%Slider 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →