PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .349vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 35%Sinker 23%Splitter 21%Sweeper 20%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.