PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 34%Sinker 26%Splitter 19%Sweeper 18%Slider 2%Four-Seam Fastball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →