PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.