PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 37%Sinker 21%Splitter 20%Sweeper 20%Slider 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Cutter (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →