PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.