PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .444 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.