PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 38%Sweeper 22%Splitter 19%Sinker 19%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Cutter (38% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.