PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 33%Sinker 25%Splitter 22%Sweeper 18%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.