PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.