PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 35%Sinker 25%Sweeper 19%Splitter 18%Slider 2%Four-Seam Fastball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →