PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .354vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 34%Sinker 25%Splitter 21%Sweeper 19%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Cutter (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.