PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.