PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 34%Sinker 25%Sweeper 19%Splitter 19%Slider 2%Four-Seam Fastball 1%Unknown 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .446 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CE Colt Emerson LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Cutter (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →