PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Johnson vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Johnson's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Johnson's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 39%Sweeper 23%Splitter 19%Sinker 18%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Johnson, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Cutter (39% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.