PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .371vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Curveball 12%Cutter 12%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%Sweeper 11%Slider 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.