PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .377vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Curveball 14%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Sweeper 10%Changeup 10%Slider 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.