PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .384vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Curveball 12%Changeup 12%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Sweeper 11%Slider 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .443 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.