PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .365vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Curveball 12%Cutter 12%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%Sweeper 11%Slider 4%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.