PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .387vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Curveball 14%Cutter 11%Changeup 11%Sinker 11%Sweeper 10%Slider 2%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LA Luis Arraez LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MC Matt Chapman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →