PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .384vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Curveball 12%Changeup 12%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Sweeper 11%Slider 3%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 651 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Daniel Susac RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.