PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 12%Sweeper 12%Cutter 12%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%Slider 6%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.