PITCHER MATCHUP
Ryan Gusto vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ryan Gusto's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 12%Cutter 12%Changeup 12%Sinker 11%Sweeper 11%Slider 5%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 619 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Max Muncy LHB .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TE Tommy Edman SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HF Hunter Feduccia LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Feduccia
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-11 game page →