PITCHER MATCHUP
Ryan Gusto vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ryan Gusto's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .365vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Curveball 12%Cutter 12%Changeup 12%Sweeper 11%Sinker 11%Slider 6%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 635 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →