PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Gusto vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Gusto's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Gusto's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .377vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Curveball 14%Cutter 12%Sinker 11%Sweeper 10%Changeup 10%Slider 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Gusto, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.