PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Feltner vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Feltner's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Feltner's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 21%Changeup 16%Sinker 14%Curveball 9%Sweeper 9%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Feltner, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →