PITCHER MATCHUP

Ryan Feltner vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ryan Feltner's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ryan Feltner's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .329vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Slider 21%Changeup 16%Sinker 14%Sweeper 9%Curveball 9%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ryan Feltner, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →