PITCHER MATCHUP

Ronel Blanco vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ronel Blanco's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ronel Blanco's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 28%Changeup 20%Curveball 15%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ronel Blanco, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.