PITCHER MATCHUP

Ronel Blanco vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ronel Blanco's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ronel Blanco's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .330vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 28%Changeup 20%Curveball 15%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ronel Blanco, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.