PITCHER MATCHUP

Ronel Blanco vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ronel Blanco's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ronel Blanco's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 29%Changeup 19%Curveball 16%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ronel Blanco, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →