PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 2%Sinker 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.