PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Connor Norby RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Cole Carrigg SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BS Brett Sullivan LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Sullivan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.