PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 33%Slider 17%Sweeper 4%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →