PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.