PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 17%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LT Leody Taveras SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.