PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 2%Sinker 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.