PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.