PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 17%Sweeper 4%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .334
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .403
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .472 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 FL Francisco Lindor SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →