PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 2%Sinker 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .397
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .466 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.