PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .393
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .461 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.