PITCHER MATCHUP
Roki Sasaki vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Roki Sasaki's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 2%Sinker 1%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 648 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.