PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 17%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tim Tawa RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →