PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.