PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.