PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 17%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.