PITCHER MATCHUP

Roki Sasaki vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Roki Sasaki's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Roki Sasaki's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 34%Slider 18%Sweeper 3%FO 1%Sinker 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Roki Sasaki, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.