PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Stock vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Stock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Stock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .355vs RHH xwOBA .365Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Sinker 21%Sweeper 12%Changeup 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Stock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-31 game page →