PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Stock vs San Diego Padres
How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Stock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Stock's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sinker 23%Sweeper 12%Changeup 8%Knuckle Curve 1%
How the San Diego Padres's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Stock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Manny Machado RHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TF Ty France RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.