PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Stock vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Stock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Stock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .364Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 32%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Changeup 12%Sweeper 9%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Stock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →