PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Stock vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Stock's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Stock's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .358Seasons 2026–2025
Cutter 32%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Sinker 23%Sweeper 12%Changeup 8%Knuckle Curve 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Stock, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →