PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Gasser vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Gasser's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Changeup 11%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KC Kody Clemens SH .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 RL Royce Lewis RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 VC Victor Caratini SH .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 AM Austin Martin RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.