PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 27%Sinker 24%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 16%Changeup 10%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.