PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Changeup 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.