PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 28%Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Cutter 15%Changeup 11%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JB JJ Bleday LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Blake Dunn RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →