PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.