PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 28%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 16%Changeup 9%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .429 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →