PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-19 game page →