PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Gasser vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Gasser's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 18%Changeup 10%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JM Joe Mack LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.