PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Gasser vs Miami Marlins
How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Gasser's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%
How the Miami Marlins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JM Joe Mack LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.