PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 27%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 18%Changeup 10%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TW Taylor Ward RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VR Victor Robles RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-20 game page →