PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.