PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 18%Changeup 10%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →