PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 28%Sinker 26%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 15%Changeup 10%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW Jordan Walker RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sweeper (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →