PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.