PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Gasser vs St. Louis Cardinals
How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Gasser's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%
How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NC Nathan Church LHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JF José Fermín RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.