PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Gasser vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Gasser's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 17%Changeup 11%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AR Austin Riley RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .360
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.