PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Gasser vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Gasser's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 27%Sinker 25%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 16%Changeup 9%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .328
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1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 MH Michael Harris II LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .352
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.