PITCHER MATCHUP
Robert Gasser vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Robert Gasser's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 26%Sinker 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Cutter 19%Changeup 10%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 666 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .356
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.