PITCHER MATCHUP

Robert Gasser vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robert Gasser's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robert Gasser's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 28%Sinker 26%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 16%Changeup 12%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robert Gasser, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Sweeper (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →