PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 8%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.