PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 5%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-05 game page →