PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 25%Changeup 14%Knuckle Curve 11%Sinker 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-04 game page →