PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .268
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .258
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-30 game page →