PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 8%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .256
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.