PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 25%Changeup 14%Knuckle Curve 11%Sinker 4%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.