PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 23%Changeup 16%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 6%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.