PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.