PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Slider 25%Changeup 14%Knuckle Curve 11%Sinker 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.