PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 7%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.