PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 11%Sinker 5%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-18 game page →