PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 8%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.