PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 6%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TE Tommy Edman SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-23 game page →