PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 7%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.