PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 11%Sinker 5%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →