PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 15%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 8%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.