PITCHER MATCHUP

Robbie Ray vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Robbie Ray's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Robbie Ray's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 23%Changeup 16%Knuckle Curve 12%Sinker 6%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Robbie Ray, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.