PITCHER MATCHUP

Riley Cornelio vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Riley Cornelio's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Riley Cornelio's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026
Slider 51%Four-Seam Fastball 35%Cutter 13%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Riley Cornelio, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.