PITCHER MATCHUP

Riley Cornelio vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Riley Cornelio's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Riley Cornelio's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026
Slider 51%Four-Seam Fastball 35%Cutter 13%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Riley Cornelio, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Slider (51% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.