PITCHER MATCHUP

Riley Cornelio vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Riley Cornelio's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Riley Cornelio's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026
Slider 54%Four-Seam Fastball 43%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Riley Cornelio, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Slider (54% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-08 game page →