PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .389vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Changeup 21%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC José Caballero RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jasson Domínguez SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jasson Domínguez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.