PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .374vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 29%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .490 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.