PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Four-Seam Fastball 24%Slider 24%Changeup 21%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Ben Rice LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Amed Rosario RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JE J.C. Escarra LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.C. Escarra
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →