PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .381vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 29%Slider 28%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →