PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .376vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.