PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .383vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 23%Changeup 20%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →