PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 29%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.