PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .374vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 29%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.