PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.