PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 29%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 649 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.