PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.